Daily Archives: Oct 19, 2018 at 07:07 am EST

US Business Cycle Risk Report | 19 October 2018

The US economic trend remains solidly positive, but signs of slowing growth persist. For now, the risk of recession remains virtually nil and it’s unlikely that a downturn will start in the immediate future, according to broad set of indicators. But projections for next year, which remain highly speculative at this point, suggest that recession risk will rise – a forecast that deserves close attention as new data arrives in the weeks ahead.
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Macro Briefing: 19 October 2018

US hardens line on Saudi Arabia as evidence mounts in Khashoggi case: CNN
EU offers UK few options on Brexit deal: Reuters
Trump threatens to close southern US border as migrants approach: NPR
China’s economic growth slows to softest pace in a decade: NY Times
Leading Economic Index for the US signals strong growth for 2019: CNBC
Philly Fed Mfg Index points to strong growth for October: MarketWatch
US jobless claims fell last week, near 50-year low: MarketWatch