Daily Archives: Apr 5, 2020 at 05:39 pm EDT

World Coronavirus Forecast Update: 5 April 2020

Reported cases of Covid-19 infections on a global basis continue to exceed the median forecast, based on CapitalSpectator.com’s 8-model combination estimate (see note below). That’s a clue that a peak on a worldwide basis remains elusive for the immediate future. By contrast, new cases that fall below the median forecast on a continual basis will strengthen expectations for assuming that a durable apex is near or has already started. Alas, we don’t appear to be at that turning point yet for the global numbers.

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