Daily Archives: July 20, 2011

A Long US Holiday For The Bond Vigilantes

Bond vigilantes are driving yields higher for certain European countries, but there’s little sign of stress in the U.S. Treasury market. The dollar is hardly perfect, but it’s still the world’s reserve currency and it claims a number of benefits over the euro. Even so, the low yields on Treasuries is surprising to some considering the surge of predictions that the fiscal and monetary stimulus in recent years would eventually drive yields skyward. In 2009, for instance, The Wall Street Journal argued that the vigilantes “appear to be returning with a vengeance now that Congress and the Federal Reserve have flooded the world with dollars to beat the recession.” Two years on, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is roughly 2.9% as of yesterday, or about 50 basis points lower than when the Journal expressed its concerns about the blowback from vigilantes on May 29, 2009.

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