Daily Archives: Mar 28, 2019 at 06:41 am EDT

US Business Cycle Risk Report | 28 March 2019

The recent deceleration in US economic activity in last year’s second half is expected to spill over into 2019’s first quarter, but there are signs that the slowdown may be stabilizing. A fresh run of numbers for a broad range of indicators shows that the deterioration in the macro trend has ended, at least for now, based on analyzing the data published to date. Although it’s still touch and go for deciding if output will rebound, today’s economic profile suggests that a slower but stable pace of growth will prevail for the near term.
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Macro Briefing: 28 March 2019

Trump warns Russia to remove military presence from Venezuela: NY Times
US officials: China makes unprecedented offer to US in trade talks: Reuters
GOP senators tell Trump that trade war with China could lead to recession: Politico
Brexit mess continues to roil UK as May offers to quit: BBC
India successfully tests anti-missile capability, joining elite club of nations: CNN
Several Fed officials say it’s premature to consider cutting interest rates: WSJ
US trade deficit narrowed sharply in January but remains elevated: MW
Current account deficit for US reaches 10-year high in Q4: Reuters
10-year Treasury yield fell to 2.41% on Wed, lowest since Dec 2017: CNBC