Daily Archives: September 9, 2024

Macro Briefing: 9 September 2024

US payrolls rebounded in August, but the 142,000 increase in new jobs was less than forecast. “The labor market is cooling at a measured pace,” notes Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. “Businesses are still adding to payrolls but not as indiscriminately. The Fed will likely cut by 25 basis points and reserve the right to be more aggressive in the last two meetings of the year.” The unemployment rate dipped to 4.2% from 4.3% previously. Although that’s modest relative to the history, the recent increase has triggered recession warnings, according to some analysts. “The increased unemployment rate is in a range where we have historically been in recessions,” says economist Claudia Sahm. “But that’s a history, that’s a past. We’re not in a recession right now, but we do have a weakening labor market.”

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