* Treasury Sec. Yellen: blanket guarantee to all bank deposits not being discussed
* Fed’s Powell says SVB collapse was “outlier” and banking system is “sound”
* Bank stocks fall after comments from Federal Reserve and US Treasury
* Bank turmoil complicates debt-ceiling talks in Washington
* Fed oversight bill backed by Sens. Rick Scott (R) and Elizabeth Warren (D)
* Macro hedge funds hit hard by recent bank turmoil
* Investment firms buying land in US West for water rights
* SEC set to bring lawsuit against Coinbase, a leading crypto firm
* Federal Reserve raises interest rates despite bank turmoil:
Risk Of Wider Bank Crisis Appears To Be Easing
These are still early days for evaluating the risk outlook linked to the banking turmoil triggered earlier this month by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), but there are nascent signs that the worst has passed. Reverberations for the economy remain a threat, but for the moment the odds of contagion risk that spreads across the financial system seem to be receding. Blowback for the economy in the months ahead is less clear, but the immediate goal is avoiding a spike in financial-system risk writ large and on that front there’s a case for cautious optimism.
Macro Briefing: 22 March 2023
* China’s Xi tells Putin he wants to ‘strengthen coordination’ with Russia
* Federal Reserve faces tough choice on today’s decision on interest rates
* Fed will come under intense scrutiny in Congress over SVB failure
* UK inflation posts unexpected increase in February
* Bank crisis is expected to pinch commercial real estate lending
* Bank turmoil takes a bite out of oil prices
* Gold pulls back after briefly trading above $2000 an ounce
* US home prices fall vs. year-ago level–first decline in 11 years
* US existing home sales rebound sharply in February:
Tech And Communications Services Lead Equity Sectors In 2023
Technology is killing it–again. The sector is posting the strongest year-to-date performance for US equity sectors stocks, based on a set of ETF proxies. A close second: communication services. Meanwhile, financials and energy are suffering this year.
Macro Briefing: 21 March 2023
* Chinese leader Xi praises Putin in Moscow as Ukraine war grinds on
* Japan prime minister makes surprise visit to Ukraine
* Japan prime minister announces new Indo-Pacific plan during India visit
* French government survives no-confidence votes re: pension reform
* JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon leads efforts for First Republic Bank rescue
* Amazon will cut an additional 9,000 jobs
* Fed should continue rate hikes, says chief economist for S&P global ratings
* Fed to hike interest rates by 1/4 point tomorrow via futures market forecast:
Bonds Extend Rally Amid Fears Of Bank Crisis
Bond prices continued to rebound last week as investors worried that the turmoil in the banking sector could spread.
Macro Briefing: 20 March 2023
* Chinese leader Xi meeting with Russia’s Putin today in Moscow
* Central banks say they will boost liquidity to tamp down bank-crisis risk
* UBS is buying Credit Suisse in effort to tame risk of banking crisis
* S&P downgrades First Republic’s credit rating deeper into junk status
* US lawmakers will review merits of higher FDIC bank deposit insurance cap
* Lending to small firms and individuals expected to fall in wake of bank turmoil
* Gold rallies to 11-month high:
Book Bits: 18 March 2023
● Meganets: How Digital Forces Beyond Our Control Commandeer Our Daily Lives and Inner Realities
David B. Auerbach
Excerpt via Gizmodo
The Googles, Facebooks, cryptocurrencies, and government systems of our world accumulate influence at a mystifying rate. The constant critiques and attempted regulation directed at these systems never seem to yield real reform. Such efforts run into a brick wall for one ultimate reason: no one is really in control. Even the companies and executives who run them are trapped by the persistent, evolving, and opaque systems they have created. What is it that has so destabilized our elites so that they have lost control of the very systems they built and run? With every passing day we intuitively sense a loss of control over our daily lives, society, culture, and politics, even as it becomes more difficult to extricate ourselves from our hypernetworked fabric. No explanation ever seems sufficient.
The Fed’s Big Problem Just Got Bigger
Fighting high inflation is tough enough, but the Federal Reserve’s been trying to tame pricing pressure when the economy is showing signs of weakening, at least in some corners. That’s a major challenge, but it’s even a bigger problem in the wake of banking turmoil triggered by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).
Macro Briefing: 17 March 2023
* China President Xi to visit Putin in Russia next week
* Poland to be first NATO country to provide military jets to Ukraine
* Protests erupt after Macron orders pension reforms without vote in parliament.
* First Republic Bank set to receive cash infusion from largest US banks
* US import prices decline in February, second monthly slide
* Philly Fed Mfg Index continues to reflect hefty decline in March business activity
* US jobless claims fell last week, continue to indicate tight labor market
* US housing starts rebound in February to 5-month high: