Nicholas Mulder
Review via Foreign Affairs
For those who see economic sanctions as a relatively mild way of expressing displeasure at a country’s behavior, this book, charting how they first emerged as a potential coercive instrument during the first decades of the twentieth century, will come as something of a revelation. In an original and persuasive analysis, Mulder shows how isolating aggressors from global commerce and finance was seen as an alternative to war that worked precisely because of the pain it imposed on the target society.
Performance Divide Persists For Old vs. New Energy Stocks In 2022
Green energy may be the future, but it’s still having a rough time in the present while shares of conventional fossil fuel companies extend last year’s strong bull run.
Macro Briefing: 28 January 2022
* Biden focuses on presenting united front with Europe re: tensions with Russia
* Russia says it won’t start a war over Ukraine
* US employers dealing with highest labor costs in 20 years
* Petro states set to supply rising share of West’s fossil fuels
* German economy shrank 0.7% in Q4 while France’s economy rebounded
* Apple reports strong quarterly revenue gain as supply-chain crunch eases
* Jobless claims in US eased last week–first decrease in four weeks
* US pending home sales fell again in December amid shrinking inventory
* US durable goods orders fell in December — first decline in 3 months
* US economic growth accelerated in Q4 — faster than expected:
US Equity Factors Post Wide Range Of Losses So Far In 2022
Minds will differ on the case for factor diversification in equity portfolios, but advocates will find a degree of support for the idea in year-to-date performances, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday’s close (Jan. 26).
Macro Briefing: 27 January 2022
* Justice Breyer to retire, giving Biden a choice for shaping Supreme Court
* Federal Reserve hints at possibility of several interest rate hikes this year
* US formally rejects Russian demand to bar Ukraine from NATO
* Russia and Ukraine will continue ceasefire talks
* N. Korea continues ballistic missile tests–its sixth round of launches this month
* Will Taiwan’s key role in producing computer chips trigger US-China conflict?
* UBS agrees to buy robo adviser Wealthfront for $1.4 billion
* New US home sales rose to a 9-month high in December:
Will Putin Invade Ukraine? Weighing The Risks, Gauging The Odds
The facts on the ground look ominous. Russia has deployed more than 100,000 troops on Ukraine’s border. The US, Europe and NATO have responded by warning Moscow that there will be a price to pay if President Vladimir Putin decides to invade. The situation has become a major risk factor for the global economy, financial markets and beyond,
Macro Briefing: 26 January 2022
* US working to supply Europe with energy supplies to blunt a Russian gas cutoff
* New omicron variant discovered and it’s spreading fast but little is known of risks
* Fed expected to signal a March interest rate hike today
* Gold is rising this year amid increased geopolitical tensions and market turmoil
* IMF says global recovery is ‘disrupted’ and cuts global growth forecast
* Falling stock prices may not delay the Fed’s hawkish policy choices this time
* US computer chip supplies near extreme lows
* US Consumer Confidence Index fell in January after gains in 2021’s Q4
* US home prices ease on year-over-year basis but still running hot:
US GDP Growth Set To Pop In Q4 Report But Q1 Outlook Is Sliding
Economic growth is expected to accelerate in this week’s initial estimate of fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP). The Bureau of Economic Analysis appears set to report a strong rebound in output for Q4 in Thursday’s release (Jan. 27). But the recovery will be short-lived, based on recent downgrades for the US outlook in early 2022.
Macro Briefing: 25 January 2022
* US puts 8500 troops on alert for possible deployment to Eastern Europe
* Europe considers the risk of Russia cutting off gas supplies
* China breaches Taiwan airspace with dozens of warplanes
* Does China’s zero-Covid policy put it at disadvantage to the West
* Is the Fed’s current pivot to tighter policy too little too late?
* Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index: US growth slowed to 11-month low in December
* US economic growth slows to a crawl in January via PMI survey data:
Commodities Continued Rising Last Week As Global Equities Fell
A broad measure of commodities rose for a third straight week as stocks around the world tumbled in trading through Friday’s close (Jan. 21), based on a set of ETFs tracking the major asset classes.