Macro Briefing: 2 November 2021

* More than 100 countries pledge to end deforestation by 2030
* US to announce tougher regs on methane emissions for oil, gas production
* Drug companies aren’t liable for opioid crisis in California, says state court
* Supply-chain risk for US economy remains close to two-decade high
* Shortages that are slowing auto output are a risk for the world economy
* Don’t expect stocks and bonds to provide protection from inflation, AQR warns
* 82% of S&P 500 firms have beat Wall Street’s profit expectations
* Is surging bond-market volatility a warning for stocks?
* US construction spending fell 0.5% in September
* US Mfg PMI for October: softer growth but new orders “remains sharp”
* US ISM Mfg Index edges lower in October but still indicates strong growth:

Macro Briefing: 1 November 2021

* Biden’s plan for US to lead in battling climate crisis faces big hurdles
* COP26 climate talks come with major implications for investing
* US Covid-19 cases down 58% from most recent peak
* Covid-19 pandemic accelerated baby-boomer retirements
* Treasury Sec. Yellen downplays flattening yield curve; says recovery is solid
* China’s factory output contracted for a second month in October
* Japan’s new prime minister plans to redistribute wealth via “new capitalism”
* Consumer prices and wages rose in September at fastest pace in decades
* Consumer spending continued to increase in September:

Book Bits: 30 October 2021

Sunbelt Blues: The Failure of American Housing
Andrew Ross
Essay by author via Orlando Sentinel
The affordable housing crisis is about to become an emergency. According to a recent Zillow forecast, by December, the typical renter in the U.S. will be paying landlords more than 30% of their pretax income. That’s the official threshold for “housing-cost burdened.”
With housing prices and rents still climbing, and eviction moratoriums largely ended, millions of these tenants are at risk of becoming homeless.

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Macro Briefing: 29 October 2021

* Biden arrives in Europe for COP26 climate summit
* Dems’ infrastructure spending package still in limbo as October comes to a close
* Apple and Amazon earnings disappoint
* Treasury Sec. Yellen: spending bills will be anti-inflationary by lowering key costs
* Eurozone inflation rises above 4%, creating more pressure for rate hike
* US jobless claims fell again last week, reach new pandemic low
* Market starting to price in Fed rate hikes for 2022
* Pending home sales for US post surprising drop for September
* US GDP growth slowed to 2% in Q3–smallest gain since expansion started:

Macro Briefing: 28 October 2021

* Quick deal on Dem’s social-spending agenda falls apart
* US reportedly training troops in Taiwan
* Top US general says China’s hypersonic weapons test is “very concerncing”
* One-third of China’s property developers will struggle to repay debts
* Chip shortage takes toll on profits at GM and Ford
* US economic growth projected to slow in Q3, but a rebound is expected
* US trade deficit for goods surged in September as exports fell
* New US orders for durable goods fell in September at headline level:

Macro Briefing: 27 October 2021

* Democrats unveil plan for 15% minimum corporate tax
* Democrats are considering a novel capital-gains tax on billionaires
* Microsoft and Alphabet beat expectations for revenue growth
* US is now the leader in bitcoin mining after China crackdown
* Treasury market’s 5-year inflation forecast rises to 2.99% for the first time
* Hot US housing market may be starting to cool, based on S&P Case-Shiller Index
* New home sales rebounded to six-month high in September
* US Consumer Confidence rises in October, following three months of decline: