* CDC says vaccinated Americans can go maskless in most settings
* Fighting in Gaza intensifies as Israeli ground forces launch attacks
* Fed governor Christopher Waller predicts inflation surge will be temporary
* Colonial pipeline paid roughly $5 million to ransomware attackers
* US Producer Price Index rose sharply in April
* US jobless claims continued to slide last week, dropping to new pandemic low:
How Long Will ‘Transitory’ Inflation Last?
The US Consumer Price Index surged in April, topping estimates by a wide margin. The question is whether this is the start of an inflationary wave or just the latest run of noise?
Macro Briefing: 13 May 2021
* Deadly conflict continues between Israel and Palestinian militants in Gaza
* Colonial Pipeline restarts operations after ransomware attack closed system
* GOP Senate Leader: ‘good chance’ of deal with Biden on infrastructure
* US budget deficit jumps to record $1.9 trillion in first seven months of fiscal year
* Tesla CEO Elon Musk: car maker stops accepting bitcoin for car purchases
* Atlanta Fed business inflation expectations continue to rise in May
* How long does ‘transitory’ inflation last?
* US consumer inflation surged in April — 4.2% annual rate is highest since 2008:
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 12 May 2021
As trend-watching goes, there was only way to cast your gaze today: down. The selling wave left almost no place to hide in risk assets. The catalyst, at least, is no mystery, or so it appears: higher inflation.
Energy Stocks Continue To Thrash Tech Shares Year To Date
It’s been a year of trading places for performance outliers in the US equity sector space. The formerly high-flying tech sector is now the laggard while energy stocks continue to hold the lead, based on a set of ETFs through May 11.
Macro Briefing: 12 May 2021
* Israel-Palestine conflict continues to escalate, sparking fear of new war
* Today’s US inflation report for April is expected to show sharp increase
* Signs of panic buying of gas along East Coast after pipeline shuts down
* Major US fuel pipeline moving closer to reopening
* US detentions at border rose to highest in two decades in April
* UK economy fell 1.5% in the first quarter but rebounded in March
* Small business optimism rose in April but report trouble hiring workers
* US job openings soared in March, but hiring remained relatively subdued:
Estimating Fair Value For The 10-Year Treasury Yield
The world is awash in efforts to model a theoretical value for the stock market – the CAPE ratio, for example. But while the equities hog much of the attention on this front, similar analytics for the world’s most important interest rate are no less valuable.
Macro Briefing: 11 May 2021
* Republicans set to remove Liz Cheney from House leadership position today
* Israel unleashes airstrikes on Gaza for second day
* US ship fired warning shots at Iranian boats in another encounter in Persian Gulf
* China’s factory gate prices rose at fastest rate in over three years in April
* Will progressive groups derail a second term for Fed Chair Powell?
* China’s population grows at slowest pace in decades
* Pipeline shutdown triggers worries that gasoline prices may surge
* Gasoline price mostly steady as key fuel pipeline in US remains offline:
All Major Asset Classes Rose Last Week, Except REITs
Rallies broke out across nearly all the major asset classes last week, based on a set of exchange traded funds. The lone exception: US real estate investment trusts (REITs), which posted the only setback for the trading week through Friday, May 7.
Macro Briefing: 10 May 2021
* Major US fuel pipeline closed for third day after cybersecurity attack
* Consumers feeling pinch of higher prices for goods and services
* Weak jobs report creates challenges for Biden’s policy agenda
* GOP set for week of fierce leadership battles in House
* Cryptocurrency industry hires lobbyists as regulations loom
* US dollar’s share of world’s foreign reserves fell for fifth straight year in 2020
* US payrolls post sharply weaker-than-expected gain for April
* US dollar dropped to lowest level in more than two months on Friday:




