* Biden outlines $2 trillion infrastructure plan
* Businesses voice opposition to Georgia’s restrictive changes in voting laws
* China manufacturing growth slowed to softest pace in nearly a year
* Eurozone mfg output accelerated to record high growth in March via PMI data
* US pending home sales fell sharply in Feb due to lowest supply in history
* Chicago PMI, a regional economic indicator, rose in March to highest since 2018
* US dollar’s share of global reserves falls to 25-year low
* US companies added jobs in March at fastest pace since September:
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 31 March 2021
Introducing A New Strategy: Global Momentum
Starting with the next update of our proprietary strategies, Global Momentum (G.B16.MOM) will join the party. In line with the other two prop strategies, G.B16.MOM will use our standard 16-ETF opportunity set that spans the major asset classes on a global basis. The difference: G.B16.MOM will use price momentum as a risk-management tool (vs. return volatility and drawdown for the other two strategies).
Deep-Value ETF Report: 31 March 2021
Despite a general rise in global markets over the past year, the well never runs dry in the search for out-of-favor assets. Whether these assets are value traps or opportunities is the enduring question. But at least we have a good starting point: trailing 5-year returns.
Macro Briefing: 31 March 2021
* Biden’s plan aims for major boost of gov’t spending as share of US economy
* Here are details of Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure plan set for release today
* Buildup of Russian forces near Ukraine border ‘concerning,” says US official
* US 10-year Treasury yield on track for 3rd straight quarterly rise
* China’s services and manufacturing sectors post stronger growth in March
* China’s currency set for biggest monthly decline vs. US dollar in over 1-1/2 years
* Political and health crises rock Brazil, South America’s largest economy
* UK GDP increased more than expected in Q4
* US Consumer Confidence Index jumps in March to one-year high
* US home prices up 11.2% in Jan vs. year-ago level–fastest gain in 15 years:
Are Consumer Staples The New Sector Leader For Equities?
Last week we wondered if a change in sector leadership was brewing for US equities, based on a set of exchange traded funds. Among the leading candidates, we mused: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP). The future’s still unclear (as always), but after XLP’s strong gain yesterday, building on last week’s solid rally, the possibility that staples are moving to the fore after posting lagging results remains an intriguing possibility.
Macro Briefing: 30 March 2021
* Biden focuses on reversing economic disparity in next major policy agenda
* CDC director sees rising risk of a new surge in Covid-19 cases
* Pfizer, Moderna COVID-19 vaccines highly effective after first shot, study shows
* China moving toward building alliance of autocracies
* Is China starting to export inflation to the global economy?
* Suez Canal traffic moving again after ship blocking waterway is freed
* 10-year Treasury yield at 1.77% in early Tuesday trading–14-month high
* Texas factory activity accelerated in March, Dallas Fed reports
* US Dollar Index rises to 4-1/2 month high:
US REITs Led Major Asset Classes By Wide Margin Last Week
Property shares in the US topped returns for last week’s mixed results for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange traded funds through the close of trading on Friday, Mar. 26.
Macro Briefing: 29 March 2021
* Ship blocking Suez Canal is partially freed
* Biden this week will outline major infrastructure-spending proposal
* Growing list of firms warning of supply-chain bottlenecks, rising inflation
* Bond bulls question outlook for continued rise in interest rates
* Housing inflation is ramping up globally
* Investment banks take hit from hedge fund default on margin calls last week
* NYC is harbinger for US office space generally: most workers aren’t coming back
* Cold weather weighed on US consumer spending, income in February
* US Consumer Sentiment Index rises to one-year high in March
* NY Fed’s Weekly Economic Index revised to first growth reading in over a year:
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 28 March 2021
Mixed performances for the global markets last week kept our proprietary strategies essentially unchanged for the week through Friday, Mar. 26. Nothing to brag about, but at least it’s better than the previous week’s sharp declines.