Macro Briefing: 22 September 2020

Trump expected to name Supreme Court nominee by Saturday: Reuters
McConnell: Senate may hold Supreme Court vote before election: BBG
Fed’s Powell: US economy improving but faces ‘highly uncertain’ recovery: BBG
Obamacare may be toast after Ginsburg’s death: HP
China’s recovery may be key marginal driver of global GDP: CNBC
China compiling blacklist of US companies to punish tech firms: WSJ
Different paths on climate change for Big Oil in Europe vs. US: NYT
Chicago Fed Nat’l Index: Growth slowed in Aug but remained above average: AP

Macro Briefing: 21 September 2020

GOP senators under pressure to fill Ginsburg seat on Supreme Court: AP
Amy Barrett is a front-runner to replace Ginsburg on Supreme Court: Reuters
US set to pass 200,000 coronavirus deaths: Reuters
Global trade rebounds faster than expected: WSJ
Defying White House, UN doesn’t support reimposing Iran sanctions: Politico
Russia announces international sales of its coronavirus vaccine: WSJ
HSBC, Britain’s biggest bank, charged with Ponzi scheme: BBC
China’s support for global economy will likely be modest: SCMP
BoA economists are skeptical that higher inflation is near: II
US Consumer Sentiment Index rises in September to six-month high: UoM

Book Bits: 19 September 2020

The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations
Daniel Yergin
Review via USA Today
At a time when solid facts and reasoned arguments are in retreat, Daniel Yergin rides to the rescue. The Pulitzer Prize-winning author and energy savant is armed to the teeth with enough telling statistics to sink an oil tanker in “The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations.”
While most “experts” predicted a decade ago that peak oil production was imminent, to be followed by a slippery slope of declining supply, Yergin said they were wrong. As usual, he was right.
The big issue today is not supply, it’s demand. When will our voracious appetite peak for all that plentiful oil, gas and coal?

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Growth And Momentum Equity Factors Lead Market Rebound

Equity strategies focused on growth and momentum were the top-performing risk factors before the coronavirus crash and nothing’s changed during the market’s rebound from its March 23 low. Although all equity factors have bounced, growth and momentum have bounced higher, based on a set of exchange-traded funds through yesterday’s close (Sep. 17).
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Macro Briefing: 18 September 2020

Congress focuses on bill to avoid a government shutdown: WSJ
Judge blocks ‘politically motivated’ changes to US Postal Service: Reuters
China responds to US envoy’s visit to Taiwan with military drills: BBC
US economic confidence rebounds but still far below pre-pandemic level: Gallup
US housing starts fell in August–first monthly setback since April: NMN
Philly Fed Mfg Index: expansion continues in September but at slower pace: MW
US jobless claims fall more than expected, dropping to new pandemic low: CNBC

Macro Briefing: 17 September 2020

Hurricane Sally leaves 550,000 without power on US Gulf Coast: BBC
Federal Reserve expects to keep rates near zero for years: CNBC
CDC chief: coronavirus vaccine may not be ready until mid-2021: WSJ
Are weekly jobless claims figures reliable? NYT
Snowflake stock more than doubles — largest software IPO in history: CNBC
Homebuilder sentiment increases to record high in September: CNBC
US retail spending continued rising in August: NYT

The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 16 September 2020

Lower For Longer: If it wasn’t already clear, the Federal Reserve has no plans to raise interest rates any time soon. Noting that inflation continues to run “persistently below” its 2% target and the labor market remains well below its “maximum” mandate for full employment, the central bank announced that it “expects to maintain an accommodative stance of monetary policy until these outcomes are achieved.”

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