It was a very good year for investors in 2019. So good, in fact, that it was impossible to lose money last year with simple buy-and-hold strategies that owned one or more of the major asset classes.
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Macro Briefing | 2 January 2020
Protests at US embassy in Iraq reflect Iran’s influence: NY Times
Taiwan’s top military chief among dead in helicopter crash: CNN
Israel’s Netanyahu seeks parliamentary immunity from prosecution: BBC
Hundreds of Hong Kong protesters arrested: Reuters
UK mfg output fell at fastest rate in 7-1/2 years in Dec: IHS Markit
Eurozone mfg recession continued in December: IHS Markit
China’s mfg sector continued to post a mild rebound in Dec: IHS Markit
Recession is a top concern for CEOs in 2020: WSJ
10yr Treasury yield ended 2019 near 5-month high:
That’s A Wrap For 2019
Across-The-Board Gains Last Week For The Major Asset Classes
A clean sweep of higher prices lifted all corners of the global markets for the shortened Christmas week of trading, based on a set of ETFs representing the major asset classes. The holiday rally through Dec. 27 is the latest installment in an extraordinary year that’s on track to deliver gains in everything once 2019’s final trade closes.
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Macro Briefing | 30 December 2019
US strikes Iran-backed militia forces in Iraq and Syria: USA Today
Iraqi militia leader vows response to US attacks: Reuters
Trump’s tweets name alleged whisteblower, unleashing new controversey: BBG
Democrats try to undercut Trump’s strong economy message in Iowa: NY Times
US wages rising at fastest pace in over a decade: WSJ
China boosts lending in a risky bid to support small business financing: FT
Japan’s stock market ends 2019 as a top regional performer: CNN
Extreme poverty in the world cut in half over the last decade: Axios
US manufacturing rebound appears to be fading, based on regional Fed indexes:
Best of Book Bits 2019 (Part II)
Following last week’s first installment of notable titles that found their way to The Capital Spectator’s weekly Book Bits column in 2019, here’s the second half of this absurdly subjective short list. Cheers!
Quality And Large Caps Are 2019’s Top Equity Factor Performers
All the major silos of US equity factors are posting solid gains this year, but nothing beats the so-called quality screen (stocks with strong fundamentals), based on a set of exchange traded funds. In close pursuit: large-cap shares.
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Macro Briefing | 27 December 2019
Philippines bans 2 US senators, considers restrictions for Americans: Bloomberg
US warns China against coercing Taiwan: SCMP
ECB policymaker: return to positive rates unlikely in 2020: Reuters
Israel’s Netanyahu wins party vote ahead of probable election in March: Reuters
Syria’s advancing army in country’s northwest triggers mass exodus: LA Times
Japan will send destroyer to Middle East for intel gathering: Japan Times
Is the US-China trade war fading? Not for books: NY Times
Amazon reports new highs for holiday sales: WSJ
US jobless claims continue to fall after recent spike: CNBC
US GDP Growth Remains On Track To Stabilize In Q4
Incoming economic reports continue to show that US growth is holding steady at a moderate pace in the fourth quarter. A lot can change between today and Jan. 30, when the government’s initial Q4 GDP report will be published. But the data available today suggests that output will expand at or near Q3’s 2.1% increase.
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Macro Briefing | 26 December 2019
US holiday spending rises, thanks to e-commerce at record high: Reuters
China sails new aircraft carrier through Taiwan Strait: Reuters
GOP senator ‘disturbed’ by McConnell’s ‘coordination’ with White House: Politico
Births in Japan fall to lowest level since 1874: NY Times
Long-run secular inflation trend looks set to decline: Vanguard
Richmond Fed Mfg Index: sector activity fell for 2nd month in Nov: RF
Gold is trading above $1500, a seven-week high: Bloomberg