Macro Briefing: 29 September 2017

Enacting GOP’s tax-reform bill face hurdles in Congress: Politico
Final Q2 GDP growth estimate for US ticks up to 3.1%: MarketWatch
US jobless claims up 12k, first rise in three weeks: RTT
US trade deficit slips in Aug on weaker imports: MarketWatch
Kansas City Fed Mfg Index continues to rise at “solid” pace in Sep: KC Fed
Japan’s inflation continues to rebound in August: Bloomberg
S&P 500 edged up to record high on Thursday: Reuters

Softer GDP Growth Rate For US Is Expected In Q3

Forecasters continue to project a moderately slower increase in US economic activity for the third quarter vs. Q2, based on the average estimate for several models and economic surveys compiled by The Capital Spectator. The expected pace is strong enough to keep the economy humming, but the latest numbers suggest that next month’s preliminary Q3 data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis is on track to post a conspicuous slowdown.
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Financials Rebound As Tech Stumbles

The recent revival in shares of financial stocks has lifted this corner of the US equity market to the top-performing sector for one-year performance, based on a set of ETFs. The change in leadership is also a function of technology’s latest stumble – a slide that’s trimmed the formerly first-place sector’s performance to third for one-year results.
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Macro Briefing: 27 September 2017

Fed Chair Yellen says rate hikes will continue despite low inflation: Reuters
President Trump expected to unveil new tax plan: Politico
US Consumer Confidence Index slips in Aug after hurricanes: USA Today
New US home sales fall to 8-month low in August: MarketWatch
Richmond Fed Mfg Index rises in September: Richmond Fed
Gallup’s US economic confidence index held steady last week: Gallup
Global growth improved in Q2 and Q3 outlook is upbeat: FocusEconomics

Fed Officials Offer Mixed Outlook On US Inflation

If you’re confused about the state of the US economy and what it means for monetary policy, you’re not alone. Speeches by Federal Reserve bank presidents on Monday outlined starkly different tones on the inflation outlook, which suggests that the case for more interest-rate hikes in the near term remains muddled.
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Macro Briefing: 26 September 2017

N. Korea says it reserves the right to shoot down US bombers: Reuters
Chicago Fed Index reflects slower US growth in August: Chicago Fed
Growth rate in Texas manufacturing sector remains strong in Sep: Dallas Fed
Fed’s Evans says rates should be held steady until inflation heats up: MNI
NY Fed’s Dudley expects import prices will boost US inflation: MarketWatch
Latest Obamacare repeal bill appears doomed: Politico
Demographic trend is keeping interest rates low: San Francisco Fed
Brent oil rises to 2-year high: BBC

Macro Briefing: 25 September 2017

Merkel wins 4th term as German chancellor: Reuters
Yellen and Cohn are considered the frontrunners to lead Fed: NY Times
US business inflation outlook unchanged at 1.9% in September: Atlanta Fed
Dollar-denominated debt obligations outside US continues to rise: Bloomberg
The battle over Obamacare may never end: FiveThirtyEight
Japan’s government says country’s moderate recovery continues: RTT
US Composite PMI points to “strong” growth in September: IHS Markit