* House prepares to send Trump impeachment charge to Senate
* Biden to impose new int’l travel restrictions to fight new Covid variants
* China provocatively flies warplanes close to Taiwan over the weekend
* China overtook US as top destination for new foreign direct investment in 2020
* Widespread protests in Russia are encouraged by West, Moscow claims
* Mexico’s president contracts the coronavirus, reports mild symptoms
* German business sentiment continues to roll over after 2020 bounce
* US Composite PMI (GDP proxy) reflects solid growth in January:
In this issue:
- Global stock markets rebound, led by Asia ex-Japan shares
- Portfolio strategy benchmarks rally
- Managed risk strategies struggle
The bull market revives: Equity markets around the world closed higher this week. Last week’s stumble inspired a new round of worries, but a lot can change in a week. For now, the bulls show no signs that they’re ready to throw in the towel on the post-coronavirus-crash recovery.
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Investor sentiment is a slippery beast, but a valuable one – if you can find reliable data. Knowing that the crowd is in a state of irrational exuberance, or hopeless despair, is especially useful. Nothing strengthens confidence like market extremes when it comes to estimating expected return and risk. But there’s that data issue to consider.
* Biden will sign executive orders today providing Covid-19 relief to workers
* Senate Republicans oppose to Biden’s coronavirus relief bill
* Eurozone economic activity contracts for a 3rd month in Jan via PMI survey data
* UK economy falls in January, biggest decline in 8 months via PMI survey
* UK retail sales posted a record decline in 2020
* Japan’s economic activity continues to decline in January via PMI survey data
* US jobless claims continue to rise at an alarming rate: +900,000 last week
* Mid-Atlantic manufacturing activity surges in January via Philly Fed Mfg Index
* US housing starts rose to 15-year high in December:
It’s too early in the new year to draw conclusions, but the initial results for 2021 look promising for equity markets in Asia outside of Japan, based on set of exchange-listed funds that represent the world’s main equity regions through Jan. 20.
* Biden signs 17 excecutive orders on Wed., reversing several Trump policies
* Biden will sign 10 executive orders today, including new Covid-19 plan
* Biden’s overall policy agenda depends on results in battling Covid-19
* Biden faces several major economic challenges in the months ahead
* US homebuilder sentiment eases in Jan but still reflects bullish conditions
* US stock market (S&P 500) rises to record high on first day of Biden presidency:
The 45th president’s term ends today, putting a fork in one of the most turbulent periods in American history to rest. As the nation prepares for the the Biden era, whatever that means, let’s take a quick look at how markets fared through Donald’s tenure, based on a set of exchange traded funds.
* Washington under tight security for today’s Biden inauguration ceremony
* Biden plans blizzard of executive orders to reverse Trump policies
* Yellen, next Treasury Secretary, promotes sweeping stimulus package
* Treasury nominee Yellen: US can afford higher corporate tax rate
* UK annual inflation picks up to 0.6% in Dec but still well below BoE’s 2% target
* Eurozone annual inflation remained negative in December at -0.3%
* Eurozone is capping bond yields–with a European twist
* US Treasury market’s 5-year implied inflation forecast rises to 3yr high: 2.12%:
Small-cap stocks have taken a back seat to large caps in recent years, but the relative drought is over. Or at least it’s faded in recent months, based on a set of exchange traded funds that represent a variety of US equity risk factors.