Daily Archives: October 22, 2019

US Business Cycle Risk Report | 22 October 2019

One question increasingly dominates business-cycle analysis for the US economy these days: How slow can it go without slipping into recession? No one knows the answer… yet. But the latest data shows that growth continues to decelerate, suggesting that the gray area between expansion and contraction may be tested in the months ahead.

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Macro Briefing | 22 October 2019

Rising business challenges weigh on low-rated US companies: WSJ
Facing obstacles, UK’s Johnson focuses on final push for Oct. 31 Brexit: BBC
Election results show Canada’s Justin Trudeau will serve 2nd term as PM: CNN
Negative rates have unintended consequences, says JP Morgan’s Dimon: CNBC
More than half of banks won’t survive next crisis, McKinsey & Co predicts: BBG
In a surprising turn, protests rattle investor expectations for Chile: Reuters
Eurozone banks eased lending standards in Q3: Reuters
10yr-2yr Treasury yield curve rises to +18 basis points, a 3-month high: