The delayed third-quarter GDP report will, presumably, be published eventually, but it’s ancient history at this point. The focus has turned to an array of data from various sources for October and November. A consensus view is still evolving, but the main takeaway at the moment is that recession risk still appears low so far in Q4.
Daily Archives: November 24, 2025
Macro Briefing: 24 November 2025
US business activity accelerated for a second successive month in November, according to the US Composite PMI Output Index, a survey-based GDP proxy. “The upturn looks encouragingly broad-based for now, with output rising across both manufacturing and the vast services economy,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. “A marked uplift in business confidence about prospects in the year ahead adds to the good news.”
