Daily Archives: Nov 20, 2019 at 06:53 am EST

US Business Cycle Risk Report | 20 November 2019

US economic growth has slowed but signs that the macro trend is stabilizing suggest that the recent downshift won’t lead to a recession in the immediate future. Nonetheless, the expansion appears to be increasingly vulnerable. Another round of shocks, expected or otherwise, could push the economy over the edge. For the moment, however, the numbers show that slow growth prevails.

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Macro Briefing | 20 November 2019

Are US-China trade talks at an impasse? WSJ
China criticizes US after Senate passes bill supporting Hong Kong protesters: CNBC
Don’t overlook the brewing US-Europe trade conflict, says analyst: MW
Sluggish earnings for retailers raise questions about holiday season: WSJ
Gordon Sondland is key witness in today’s impeachment hearing: Reuters
All eyes on Lagarde, ECB’s chief, in her first policy speech on Friday: BBG
Israel launches airstrike on Syria: Reuters
Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Q4 GDP estimate ticks up but +0.4% is still worrisome
US housing starts picked up in October, rising 8.5% vs. year-earlier level: