Daily Archives: February 23, 2021

Reflation Today, Inflation Tomorrow?

Evidence is mounting that the disinflationary dive following the onset of the coronavirus crisis in the spring of 2020 is fading, giving way to a run of reflation. There’s a popular narrative that equates reflation with inflation, and that the former is destined to lead to the latter. Maybe, but maybe not.

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Macro Briefing: 23 February 2021

* Fed and Treasury officials say US jobless rate is near 10%–well above official rate
* Price tag for severe weather blowback in Texas: $50 billion
* US factories struggling to keep up with snap-back in consumer demand
* Bond yields rise ahead of Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony in Congress
* Eurozone core consumer inflation rebounds to 5-year high in January
* UK unemployment rate at 5-year high in 2020’s fourth quarter
* US Leading Economic Index rose in January, pointing to firmer growth outlook
* Texas manufacturing sector growth accelerates in February
* US economic activity strengthened in January via Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index: