Considering the case for why the Fed may cut rates again: WSJ
California declares state of emergency due to coronavirus: Reuters
Opec expected to call for big cut in oil production to counter falling prices: CNBC
Global economy contracted in February, according to survey data: IHS Markit
Coronavirus impact on US economy shows up in Fed Beige Book reoprt: MW
US services sector growth picked up in Feb via ISM Non-Mfg Index: ISM
US Services PMI shows mild contraction in Feburary: IHS Markit
US private hiring slowed in Feb but continued to rise at healthy pace: ADP

It’s unclear if yesterday’s emergency 50-basis-point cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve will help immunize the US economy against coronavirus-related blowback. Meanwhile, a rise in reported cases of covid-19 on a global basis remains the baseline forecast, based on today’s update of CapitalSpectator.com’s modeling (see today’s revised outlook below).

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Joe Biden enjoys stunning comeback in Super Tuesday voting: CNN
Fed cuts target interest rate by 1/2 point to combat coronavirus: CNBC
China services economy effectively ground to a half in Feb: IHS Markit
Japan slipped into recession in February via PMI survey data: IHS Markit
Eurozone shows a bit of resilience with modest growth in Feb: IHS Markit
10-year Treasury yield falls under 1.0%–a new record low: CNBC

The Global Market Index (GMI) is expected to earn an annualized risk premium of 4.5% over the long run in today’s revised estimate (before factoring in a “risk-free” rate). The new projection reflects a downgrade from last month’s 5.0% forecast and no change from the year-ago estimate.

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World finance officials consider economic response to coronavirus: Reuters
World’s top-3 central banks look set to respond to coronavirus: Reuters
World Health Organization chief: we’re in “uncharted territory”: CNN
Global manufacturing sector fell into deep recession in February: IHS Markit
US construction spending rose in January to record level: AP
US Mfg PMI: modest growth continued to weaken in February: IHS Markit
US manufacturing sector barely expanded in  February via ISM survey data: ISM

Nearly every corner of the major asset classes took a beating in February, courtesy of coronavirus-related worries. Only investment-grade US bonds, US inflation-indexed government bonds and cash bucked the risk-off sentiment. Otherwise, red ink swept across markets near and far.
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OECD: Covid-19 is biggest threat to global economy since financial crisis: OECD
A degree of calm returns to Asian markets on Monday: Reuters
Syria’s war escalates as Turkey responds to attack with drone strikes: BBC
Greece ends asylum as migrants mass on its border with Turkey: NY Times
North Korea fires two missiles into Sea of Japan: CNN
US and Taliban sign deal to end 18-year war in Afghanistan: BBC
Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI crashed in February: IHS Markit
Eurozone mfg recession eased in Feb but Covid-19 weighs on outlook: IHS Markit
US consumer spending slowed in January: Reuters
US Consumer Sentiment Index rose in February, near post-recession high: UoM
Chicago PMI edged up in Feb but still below neutral 50 mark: Chicago PMI
Comparing last week’s stock market loss with previous 5-day declines: CNBC

● The Long Deep Grudge: A Story of Big Capital, Radical Labor, and Class War in the American Heartland
By Toni Gilpin
Summary via publisher (Haymarket Books)
This rich history details the bitter, deep-rooted conflict between industrial behemoth International Harvester and the uniquely radical Farm Equipment Workers union. The Long Deep Grudge makes clear that class warfare has been, and remains, integral to the American experience, providing up-close-and-personal and long-view perspectives from both sides of the battle lines. International Harvester – and the McCormick family that largely controlled it – garnered a reputation for bare-knuckled union-busting in the 1880s, but in the 20th century also pioneered sophisticated union-avoidance techniques that have since become standard corporate practice. On the other side the militant Farm Equipment Workers union, connected to the Communist Party, mounted a vociferous challenge to the cooperative ethos that came to define the American labor movement after World War II.
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For the casual observer, the stock market’s rapid slide looks like madness. It was, after all, only last week that the S&P 500 closed at a record high. Six trading days later, the market has lost 12% (as of Feb. 27)–the fastest correction on record for declines of 10%-plus. But before we let recency bias take complete control of our minds, let’s consider if there’s a method in Mr. Market’s madness.

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World Health Organization: coronavirus outbreak at “decisive point”: BBC
World markets set for worst week since financial crisis: CNBC
Profiling stock market corrections since World War II: CNBC
Dozens of Turkish soliders killed in Syria by missile strike: NY Times
Turkey will no longer stop Syrian refugees from migrating to Europe: Reuters
Philly Fed’s ADS business cycle index still reflects modest growth: PF
Revised Q4 GDP data for US remains unchanged at +2.1%: Reuters
US durable goods orders edged lower in January: MW
US jobless claims rose last week but remain near historic lows: CNBC
World economy headed for worst year since financial crisis: BBG