Key Republicans decline to recognize Biden’s election win: NYT
Pfizer vaccine trial points to breakthrough for battling pandemic: Reuters
Europe runs low on ICU beds, hospital staff as virus spread rebounds: AP
Trump fires Defense Secretary Esper: CNN
China’s inflation falls despite economic rebound: Reuters
The US dollar could weaken under a Biden administration, analysts advise: CNBC
German investor confidence slides for a second month: BBG
Armenia and Azerbaijan announce end of fighting over Nagorno-Karabakh: AP
Can the head of GAO hold up a transition to a Biden administration? BBG
10-year Treasury yield rises to 0.96%, highest since March: CNBC
Author Archives: James Picerno
Clean Sweep: All The Major Asset Classes Posted Gains Last Week
Global markets rebounded last week, posting across-the-board gains, based on a set of exchange-traded funds as of Friday, Nov. 6. With the pandemic resurging in the US and Europe, however, the prospects for a sustained, broad-based rally look challenged.
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Macro Briefing: 9 November 2020
Biden presidency set to unwind Trump agenda with executive orders: FT
Trump advisers: Legal challenges to Biden victory is futile: BBG
Covid-19 will be a Biden administration’s first priority: NYT
Will pandemic overwhelm US health system before Biden takes office? Politco
Washington braces for uncertainty in Trump’s remaining time in office: TH
Democrats fear McConnel’s veto power in Senate: CNN
Goldman Sachs cuts economic growth outlook due to Covid-19’s resurgence: MW
US payrolls continued recovery in Oct but still far below per-pandemic level: BBG
Book Bits: 7 November 2020
● The Mismeasure of Progress: Economic Growth and Its Critics
Stephen J. Macekura
Summary via publisher (Chicago U. Press)
Few ideas in the past century have had wider financial, political, and governmental impact than that of economic growth. The common belief that endless economic growth, as measured by Gross Domestic Product, is not only possible but actually essential for the flourishing of civilization remains a powerful policy goal and aspiration for many. In The Mismeasure of Progress, Stephen J. Macekura exposes a historical road not taken, illuminating the stories of the activists, intellectuals, and other leaders who long argued that GDP growth was not all it was cracked up to be.
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 6 Nov 2020
Risk Assets Bounce Back: Sometimes a week makes all the difference. While the world was obsessed over the US election (Joe Biden appears headed for the White House based on the latest vote counts), global markets rebounded after last week’s across-the-board sell-off. Every component of our standard lineup of the major asset classes posted a gain.
Will Rising Coronavirus Risk Derail The US Economic Recovery?
The rear-view mirror continues to show that the US economy is clawing back losses from the coronavirus gut punch in the spring. But the rebound is increasingly threatened by the re-acceleration of Covid-19 cases, fatalities and hospitalizations.
Macro Briefing: 6 November 2020
Vote counting pushes Biden closer to winning the White House: Reuters
Federal judge blocks Trump campaign’s request to stop Philly vote count: Reuters
George vote counting gives Biden the lead in the state for the first time: BBG
Control of the Senate still unclear: depends Georgia runoff election in Jan: Politico
Tests of nasal spray that blocks coronavirus looks promising: NYT
Fed leaves rates near zero–warns of more coronavirus fallout for economy: CNN
October job cuts in US dropped to lowest number in seven months: CGC
US jobless claims fell again but remain unusually high: CNBC
Growth And Momentum Equity Factors Continue To Lead
The US election is over (or nearly over), but there’s no sign yet that the end is near for the leadership of growth and momentum risk factors in the US equity market.
Macro Briefing: 5 November 2020
Biden edges closer to winning Electoral College vote: Reuters
Trump campaign challenges vote count in key states with lawsuits: BBC
New US coronavirus rise to record 103,000 for Nov. 4: MW
Senate Leader McConnell calls for new economic relief bill: WSJ
Wall Street embraces the prospect of divided government: NYT
UK economy at risk of new recession due to coronavirus and Brexit: CNN
Global growth rebounded to fastest pace in over 2 years in October: IHSM
US Composite PMI, a GDP proxy, rose at highest rate in 29 months in Oct: IHSM
US Services PMI ticked lower in Oct but continues to post moderate growth: ISM
US private employment growth slowed in October, ADP data shows: BBG
Now We Know: Trump’s 2016 Win Was No Fluke
The outcome of the US presidential election remains unclear the morning after the Nov. 3 election, but the results so far have cleared up one misconception: Donald Trump’s victory in 2016 wasn’t a quirky outlier. Regardless of who wins the White House in the hours (or days) ahead, it’s obvious in the numbers posted so far that nearly half of voters who cast ballots prefer Trump.



