Author Archives: James Picerno

Book Bits: 19 July 2025

A Field Guide to Responsible Investing: Asset Management in the Age of Polycrises
Amy O’Brien
Summary via publisher (Palgrave Macmillan)
For years, responsible investing has been a bewildering precinct in asset management. To many, the idea of aligning your values with your investment portfolio seemed naive. Slowly and steadily, responsible investing morphed from a movement into an industry on course to command $50 trillion in assets by 2025— a third of the capital at work in the markets. And yet responsible investing has remained as difficult to traverse as ever. It’s drawn fire from critics who’ve branded the approach “woke capitalism” whilst more “responsible” generations of investors are poised to marshal trillions of assets of their own into the business – we are at an inflection point.

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Macro Briefing: 18 July 2025

US retail sales rebounded in June after two straight monthly declines. “Don’t count the American consumer out yet,” Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, wrote in commentary. “There’s still a lot of trepidation about tariffs and likely price hikes, but consumers are willing to buy if they feel they can get a good deal.”

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Macro Briefing: 16 July 2025

US consumer inflation’s 1-year pace picked up in June. The consumer price index rose 2.7% at the headline level vs. the year-ago level, up from 2.4% in May, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics — the highest increase since February. Citing tariffs as a factor, “Inflation is going kick into a much higher gear in coming months,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s. “We are on the leading edge of that now, but it will become clearly evident in the months ahead.” Omair Sharif, founder and president of Inflation Insights, wrote in a note to clients: The higher inflation data “showed that tariffs are beginning to bite.”

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Macro Briefing: 15 July 2025

Nvidia receives approval from the Trump administration to sell its advanced H20 computer chips used to develop artificial intelligence to China. “The US government has assured Nvidia that licenses will be granted, and Nvidia hopes to start deliveries soon,” the company’s CEO Jensen Huang wrote on social media.

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Will Tariffs Derail The Bull Run In Global Equities Ex-US?

A single decision has been crucial for a global equities strategy this year: selecting the weights for foreign vs. US stocks. The higher the weight in shares outside the US, the higher the performance so far in 2025. But as President Trump presses ahead with plans to raise tariffs, it’s reasonable to wonder if the gravy train in foreign stocks will persist in the face of an aggressive US trade policy.

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