Macro Briefing: 9 April 2021

* Fed’s Powell: US on track for a strong economic recovery
* Famine risk is rising for North Korea
* Violence erupts in Northern Ireland
* Blackrock’s green-investing fund is largest-ever ETF launch
* Will US plan to overhaul corporate taxes reverberate globally?
* Push to unionize Amazon in Alabama is stumbling
* Countries with highest incomes have 40% of world’s vaccinations
* China factory inflation in March at highest since 2018
* Higher inflation in China suggests tighter monetary policy may be near
* US jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week–well above consensus forecast:

Small Cap Value Still Leading US Equity Factor Returns In 2021

How long can small-cap value stocks outperform the rest of the factor field? According to the influential Fama-French research, this slice of US equity risk has dominated performance over the long haul. In recent years, however, the long-run record faltered as growth and large-cap led. But small-cap value is back in 2021 and for the moment, at least, is well ahead in the equity factor horse race on a year-to-date basis.

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Macro Briefing: 8 April 2021

* Biden open to negotiating details on corporate tax hike
* Highly infectious variant of the coronavirus now dominant in US, says CDC
* Fed minutes: policymakers say low rates will stay in place
* Global economic rebound accelerated in March via Global Composite PMI
* Global rise in food prices remains persistent
* Rising dollar in first quarter confounds bearish expectations
* CFO economic optimism rose above pre-pandemic level in late-March
* US consumer borrowing surged in February–biggest gain since late-2017:

US GDP Nowcasts Continue To Anticipate Stronger Growth For Q1

The upcoming first-quarter economic report for the US is expected to post a strong acceleration in growth, according to a set of nowcasts. The projected gain in gross domestic product (GDP) has been steady recently, suggesting a relatively high reliability that the Apr. 29 release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis will reflect a faster expansion in Q1 vs. the previous quarter.

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Macro Briefing: 6 April 2021

* EU and UK pledge support for Ukraine after Russian military buildup
* China says military exercises near Taiwan will become routine
* US to attend talks in Vienna aimed at reviving Iran nuclear deal,
* Treasury Sec. Yellen wants a minimum global corporate income tax
* Fed will face criticism with easy money policies if economy soars
* GOP Leader McConnell says ‘consequences’ await companies wading into politics
* Tens of thousands of stores at risk of closing, UBS warns
* China is first major economy to create a digital currency
* China service sector expanded at a stronger pace in March
* US ISM Services Index rose sharply in March, reflecting accelerating growth:

Macro Briefing: 5 April 2021

* Wall Street eyes higher corporate taxes in Biden’s new stimulus plan
* Veteran pension consultant recommends simplifying portfolios with indexing
* Is worker productivity at long last set to rise?
* Some states try to derail Biden’s clean energy agenda
* US payrolls surged in March, well above forecasts
* Goldman Sach reverses its bearish dollar forecast as Treasury yields rise
* US Dollar Index rose for third straight week after strong payrolls report: