Daily Archives: April 11, 2013

Just-In-Time (Whew!) Delivery: A Hefty Drop In Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims retreated sharply last week, delivering a timely reprieve from the increases in previous weeks–increases that were beginning to look troubling, if they persisted. They haven’t, at least for now. New filings for jobless benefits dropped a sizable 42,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 346,000. Once again, the latest claims data is within shouting distance of the post-recession low of 333,000, which was set back in mid-January. Is today’s report a sign that the previous runup in claims was just another case of noise for this volatile series? Possibly, although more convincing evidence will take several more weeks of updates.

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US Retail Sales: March 2013 Preview

Tomorrow’s report on US retail sales for March is projected to show a 0.2% gain for the month, according to The Capital Spectator’s average econometric forecast. That’s sharply lower than the 1.1% gain reported by the Census Bureau for February. Meanwhile, the Capital Spectator’s March projection is moderately above the range of consensus forecasts for several surveys of economists.

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