Daily Archives: February 14, 2024

10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate: 14 February 2024

The US 10-year Treasury yield spiked yesterday following the release of hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data in January. The news also convinced the market that the Federal Reserve would push the first interest rate cut for this cycle later into the year. But a fresh run of “fair value” modeling continues to suggest that the 10-year yield is elevated relative to macro conditions.

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Macro Briefing: 14 February 2024

* Fed expected to delay rate cuts after hotter-than-expected inflation data
* US 10yr Treasury yields rises sharply to 4.32%–highest since November
* Can a resilient US economy withstand higher interest rates?
* US patent office rules that AI systems cannot be named inventors
* Bitcoin rises above $50,000, showing resilience after hot inflation report
* US consumer inflation is firmer than expected in January:

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